Team Calibrator

Team Calibrator is HDR’s state-of-the-art tool that brings expert calibration and aggregation together to improve how your organization forecasts, manages uncertainty, and makes decisions. Through self-paced calibration training, real-world practice exercises, and a cutting-edge hybrid machine-learning scorekeeper, Team Calibrator ensures your subject-matter experts become more accurate — and your aggregated judgments become stronger and more reliable.

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Description

Team Calibrator is a breakthrough platform designed to improve one of the most critical yet overlooked parts of decision making: the accuracy of your experts. Every decision your organization makes is influenced by estimates and forecasts — yet few teams ever measure or improve expert performance. Team Calibrator changes that.

Team Calibrator trains your experts to reduce uncertainty, make more precise probability assessments, and measurably improve their judgment through self-paced calibration training. This same training has transformed analysts, executives, engineers, cybersecurity professionals, project managers, and government teams around the world.

Once trained, users complete estimation tasks and contribute inputs that are processed through FrankenSME, HDR’s flagship hybrid machine-learning algorithm for aggregating multiple SME assessments. This advanced model produces more accurate, defensible forecasts by combining expert input in a way that outperforms traditional averaging or consensus approaches.

Team Calibrator is delivered through the Applied Information Economics (AIE) Academy, featuring interactive lessons, expert-designed exercises, and direct engagement with HDR’s analytical tools. Together, these capabilities give organizations a comprehensive, modern compass for better decisions — helping you measure what matters and act with clarity in high-uncertainty environments.

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