Measure What Matters, Make Better Decisions
Risk Modeling and Management
At Hubbard Decision Research we believe that the secret to effective Risk Management is to measure the things that matter. In an imperfect world, you often can change the risks that are inherent in the actions that you want to take, but you can get a better understanding of your uncertainty and use that information to:
- decide whether to invest in getting more and often times different data
- look for cost effective ways to mitigate those risks or
- assess whether given your level of uncertainty, it makes sense to proceed given your stated risk tolerances.
HDR uses the Applied Information Economics (AIE) framework that was developed by our founder, Douglas W. Hubbard, to help our clients develop Risk Management. This leads to better, more precise, auditable, and unbiased processes and procedures. (for more information on AIE click here)
The advantage of using AIE over many of the more popular risk methodologies is that it works. In fact, we measure just how much better it works compared to other methods which often are no better – and sometimes even worse – than risk management by gut feel.
If you want to turn your investment in Risk Management into a competitive advantage, we can help. For more information, contact us.
Quantitative Decision Analysis
At Hubbard Decision Research, we start with the premise that the secret to effective decision making is understanding that everything and anything can be measured and that by measuring the right things in the right amount, companies can cost effectively reduce uncertainty, allowing them to make critical decisions faster and with greater confidence.
We combine an exceptional ability to find new ways to measure things that often seem immeasurable, together with:
- decomposition techniques that allow us to optimally break down problems into its components
- advanced statistical methods that allow us to make inferences from even extremely small data sets
- Psychological Bias elimination techniques that allow us to compensate for the weaknesses of what is often the most important but also the most imperfect of measurement instruments: human experts
The outcome is a delivery of quantitative models that make it easy for decision makers to properly measure risk and returns and make decisions that are in line with their risk tolerance.
If you think your organization could improve its performance by becoming more quantitative in its decision making, contact us.
Value Measurements of Intangibles
Many organizations make less than optimal and often downright bad decisions because they fail to measure what matters most. This phenomenon is called measurement inversion. One of the most common reasons companies suffer from measurement inversion is the belief that “intangibles” (e.g., management effectiveness, public image, risk of famine) can’t be measured. This results in critical factors being left out of the cost benefit, risk, and decision analyses, making them inaccurate, sometimes dangerously so.
Over the last 20 years, Hubbard Decision Research has proven time and time again, that anything and everything can be measured and that the only way to make better more effective decisions is to reduce uncertainty through measurement. We have helped many of the world’s largest and most respected organizations in both the private and public sector, find ways to measure things that they had previous thought to be unmeasurable, thus helping them to realize their full potential.
If your organization has “intangibles” that it needs measuring, give us a call. We will help you find effective ways to place a value on it and in the process teach your team how to measure any other intangibles you might need to measure in the future.
Calibration Facilitator Training
The “Train the Trainer” webinar and follow-up is for already calibrated people and includes everything that somebody needs to run their own calibration session
$995.00 per seat
Intro Webinar: How to Measure Anything in Project Management
In this 90-minute NEW introductory webinar session, you will get an executive overview of what is wrong with current methods in measurement and risk assessment in project management.
$99.00 per seat
Intro Webinar: How to Measure Anything in Project Management
In this 90-minute NEW introductory webinar Doug Hubbard will explore tough measurement topics in Organizational Transformation.
$99.00 per seat
Intro Webinar: How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk
Do current risk assessment methods in cybersecurity work? Recent big security breaches have forced business and government to question their validity.
$125.00 per seat
Cybersecurity Risk Webinar, Book and Survey (22% Off)
Do current risk assessment methods in cybersecurity work? Recent big security breaches have forced business and government to question their validity.
$199.00 per seat
Calibration – How to quantify your uncertainty
In this 3-hour webinar you will learn the techniques behind subjectively assessing the probability of uncertain events and the ranges of uncertain quantities.
$580.00 per seat
Introduction to Applied Information Economics: The Need for Better Measurements
In this one-hour session, Introduction to Applied Information Economics: The Need for Better Measurements, you will get an executive overview of methods that show independently, scientifically measured improvements to management forecasts and decisions.
$100.00 per session
AIE Analyst Training
Hubbard Decision Research staff will introduce the webinar participants to the Applied Information Economics (AIE) methods so they can measure any “intangible,” think of risk like an actuary, and look at any portfolio from a risk/return point-of-view.
$1,450.00 per seat
Results
Client Testimonials & Publicly Available Reports
Hubbard Decision Research has completed over 100 major analysis projects about client challenges in many industries. Read what what clients think and even see some of the results that have been made available to the general public.
Downloads
Exclusive Downloads Available to Registered Users
Book readers and VIP Subscribers can download spreadsheet tools and other documents here. If you are not an registered user, please take a couple of minutes to create an account.
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Risk Management Webinar: What works and what doesn’t
$150.00 -
How to Measure Anything Workbook: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business
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Pulse: The New Science – Signed by the Author
$30.00 -
How To Measure Anything Reference & Study Guide – A laminated quick reference
$29.95 -
How to Measure Anything, 3 Ed – Signed by the Author
$55.00 -
How to Measure Anything, 2e – Signed by the Author
$55.00 -
HDR Opinion Survey of Quantitative Risk Assessment Methods
$65.00 -
Cybersecurity Risk Webinar, Book and Survey (22% Off)
$199.00