Calibration – How to Quantify Your Uncertainty

$580.00 $290.00

In this 3-hour Calibration webinar, you will learn the techniques behind subjectively assessing the probability of uncertain events and the ranges of uncertain quantities. This is an essential skill for anyone who needs to consider chance in decisions. Participants will see their skills measurably improve during the training with a series of “calibration exams.” Price listed is per person and includes the 1-hour AIE Intro session.

For best results please choose a date for the 1-hour AIE Intro session that comes before the date chosen for the Calibration webinar.

How to Sign Up:

1. Select a date in the drop-down menu below and add to cart. Then, fill out your order information when you go to check out.


2. If you can’t make one of the scheduled dates listed below, you can still sign up and receive a recording. All registrants receive a recording of the presentation, even if they can not attend.


3. If you can’t make one of the currently scheduled dates, email us so we can send you the next set of dates as soon as they become available.

SKU: CalibrationWebinar001 Categories: ,


Calibration is one of the most powerful and proven ways to improve decision-making. In this Calibration training, participants will learn how to assess subjective probabilities in a way that can be both measured and measurably improved.  Each participant will see their ability to assess probabilities improve during a series of exercises where they are required to make estimates of uncertain quantities.  Between exercises, they will learn additional techniques to continuously improve each estimate.  By the end of the training, participants will see that their assigned probabilities reflect real uncertainty – that is, they are right 80% of the time they are 80% confident, 90% of the time they are 90% confident, and so on.  This is a skill that will stick with those who learn it for a long time and will completely change how they think about estimations and probabilistic models.

Included in this package is a one-hour session, Introduction to Applied Information Economics: The Need for Better Measurements.

Scheduling and Deliverables

Each participant will receive an email 1-2 days prior to the webinar date with an email containing an invite to the Webex presentation. Just click on the link to join the Webex on the scheduled day; no prior registration is required.

Following the presentation, each participant will receive another email with:

  1. A recording of the presentation
  2. The slide deck used in the presentation
  3. Any other supporting material mentioned in the training

Schedule a Private Webinar for Your Organization

We offer private webinar sessions for an organization with special discounted group rates. Contact us for more information and to schedule your next training session.

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Additional information

AIE Intro Webinar Dates

Wednesday, June 10 3:00 pm – 4:00 pm CDT (UTC-5)

Webinar Dates for Calibration

Thursday, June 11 3:00 pm – 6:00 pm CDT (UTC-5)


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