October 9 article in OR/MS Today by Douglas Hubbard and Douglas Samuelson
“Modeling Without Measurements: How the Decision Analysis Culture’s Lack of Empiricism Reduces Its Effectiveness”
See this article at http://www.lionhrtpub.com/orms/orms-10-09/frrisk.html.
In this article my co-author and I point out a general lack of willingness to measure the actual effectiveness of many quantitative models. Just as doctors are often the worst patients, quants are often the last to measure their own performance or the performance of the models they create. We argue that this leads to the unquestioned and continued use of many models that are deeply flawed. We discuss several sources of those problems and what to do about them.