Big Decisions Blog

The Editors Eweek, 11/10/2003 Baseline interviews Doug Hubbard about how to start thinking about IT risk more like an actuary would, instead of the subject "1 to 5" scales. Another consultant interviewed for the story says scientific measurements are "ideal in theory"...

Case Study by Elana Varon, Expert Analysis by Doug Hubbard CIO Magazine, 08/08/2003 The State of Iowa implements a new weighted scoring system in this entry in CIO Magazine's ongoing case study series. While Varon believes weighted scoring methods are a valid...

by Tracy Mayor CIO Magazine, 07/15/2002 This is a fairly comprehensive review of IT valuation methods. Follow the "probabilistic methods" link to go to the section that discusses AIE. It errs in distinguishing a clear line between Real-Options Valuation and AIE (AIE...

Joanne Cummings Network World Fusion, 04/01/2002 April 4, 2002 Network World writer Joanne Cummings interviews Doug Hubbard about assessing risk and return in IT portfolios. [view article]

By Regina Kwon and Anna Maria Virzi Baseline, 3/1/2002 Doug Hubbard provides the authors with a practical example of the costs of adding one more function to software in development. The true costs are probably greater than you expect once a few categories of "hidden...

Robert Hertzberg Baseline, 2/4/2002 Hertzberg interviews Doug Hubbard about how much CIO's spend on risk analysis and whether it is enough. [view article]

by Regina Kwon Baseline Magazine, 12/10/2001 This is a practical explanation of the "Calibrated Probability" approach used in AIE. It even has a neat interactive tool. The article is based on an interview with Doug Hubbard. [view article]

by Judi Hasson Federal Computer Week, 12/10/2001 This discusses how AIE was used (or will be used, since it was written before the project) at the Census Bureau. [view article]